15 Comments

I did the deep dive on all this a decade ago. As much as I have long argued we need to take better care of the earth, the renewable dream is as deluded as critical race and gender theory, official Covid Policy and censoring free speech, warping the liberal mind.

I have since told every liberal espousing the idea that a transition to renewables is a problem of will not physics, we need to burn all of the last fossil fuels to build your renewable dream, there will be none to manage it thereafter, and we would all be living a far lower standard of living anyway, energy per capita. You gonna pave all those roads for your electric cars with what, electricity? Used car batteries?

Not gonna happen. Status quo will reign, we will all be living a lower standard of energy per capita in this lifetime regardless, without abundant renewables or fossil fuels eventually. We are gonna burn coal until it is gone a couple of hundred years from now.

Like everything else that passes for liberal progressive these days, the response has always been, "you are a backwards idiot."

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It is bad already, $4.69 for premium for the 1.4 liter turbo Audi!

I did drive the 08 Jeep Rubicon 2-door today, 6-speed, lifted, 35" mudders, bumpers, lights, spare tire (90lbs/ea on Hutchinson Bead-Loc Rims) and managed 17.1 mpg on the highway at 75-77 mph. I almost couldn't believe it, and no tailwind either! It does only have 57k on the clock.

https://i.imgur.com/3e5uJgo.jpg

https://i.imgur.com/w0Kf9Nh.jpg

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Jun 9, 2022Liked by Moriarty

Excellent post John Paul. Perhaps the single most difficult issue that I face is simply 'how to plan for this imminiant collapse'.

Lots of good advice on prepping available......no argument with that at all. But when the system hits its Senica Cliff how best does the ordinary family survive?

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2 days ago heating oil was $5/gal. Thought it would hold steady for a while now winter is done, but when I read this article decided I'd better buy now.

Too late. $5.89. shit. shit. shit.

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Re: US SENATE PANEL PASSAS "NOPEC" BILL

Expecting tomorrow:

=>US & EU sanction SAUDI/UAE/QATAR over NOPEC bill transgression.

Cruella Van der Lügen calls for ritual murder of all muslims in the name of a "greener world". The motion is adopted at EU parlement.

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Conventional Oil peaked in 2005 http://www.euanmearns.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/C-Cdec141.png

Shale in 2018.

According to Rystad, the current resource replacement ratio for conventional resources is only 16 percent. Only 1 barrel out of every 6 consumed is being replaced with new resources

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/The-Biggest-Oil-Gas-Discoveries-Of-2019.html

Shale binge has spoiled US reserves, top investor warns Financial Times.

Preface. Conventional crude oil production may have already peaked in 2008 at 69.5 million barrels per day (mb/d) according to Europe’s International Energy Agency (IEA 2018 p45). The U.S. Energy Information Agency shows global peak crude oil production at a later date in 2018 at 82.9 mb/d (EIA 2020) because they included tight oil, oil sands, and deep-sea oil. Though it will take several years of lower oil production to be sure the peak occurred. Regardless, world production has been on a plateau since 2005.

What’s saved the world from oil decline was unconventional tight “fracked” oil, which accounted for 63% of total U.S. crude oil production in 2019 and 83% of global oil growth from 2009 to 2019. So it’s a big deal if we’ve reached the peak of fracked oil, because that is also the peak of both conventional and unconventional oil and the decline of all oil in the future.

Some key points from this Financial Times article: https://energyskeptic.com/2021/the-end-of-fracked-shale-oil/

Shale boss says US has passed peak oil | Financial Times https://www.ft.com/content/320d09cb-8f51-4103-87d7-0dd164e1fd25

Our fossil fuel energy predicament, including why the correct story is rarely told https://ourfiniteworld.com/2021/11/10/our-fossil-fuel-energy-predicament-including-why-the-correct-story-is-rarely-told/

SEE PAGE 59 - THE PERFECT STORM : The economy is a surplus energy equation, not a monetary one, and growth in output (and in the global population) since the Industrial Revolution has resulted from the harnessing of ever-greater quantities of energy. But the critical relationship between energy production and the energy cost of extraction is now deteriorating so rapidly that the economy as we have known it for more than two centuries is beginning to unravel https://ftalphaville-cdn.ft.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Perfect-Storm-LR.pdf

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domestic shortages can be used to build public support to restrict or ban exports from the US and maybe also establish domestic price controls. this creates artificial competitiveness to reshore industrial production and bolster goods exports. it also secures/buys votes if done prior to the midterms.

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