We had some impressive rain events this fall, described as "Atmospheric Rivers" by the Weather Network, the occurrences no doubt a result of the "Climate Catastrophe"(TM). Formerly the rainstorms were referred to as the "Pineapple Express" due to their presumed origin near Hawaii. January was unusually dry and we have our annual snow this week.
I asked a friend's AI about the annual planetary rainfall to attempt to find when the excess water from Hunga Tonga would fall to earth. The advice was to consult some technical reference as the machine was not able to develop an answer.
I appreciate your review and information that the vaporised water will circulate in the stratosphere until it cools the planet and we have the alternate climate catastrophe.
In terms of the sulphur lost from cargo ships we would need to know the dimension of tonnes of bunker fuel used and cleansed compared to the annual use of thermal coal on a planetary basis. Without looking I would think that the new build coal-burning electricity plants in China and India would overwhelm the changes from the cleansing of the marine fuels.
Atmospheric rivers are an interesting phenomenon where heat is transported like rivers in the stratosphere (or around there).
No current AI model would be able to model your Tonga question =P because it is a very specialized knowledge, even if there was something in the data, you would need the model to function calling (using external tools), or some more complex tasks. Very hard to "one-shot" (ask a question, get the answer) such a complex question currently.
You could theoretically feed the papers to the most advanced "Reasoning" model and ask to go through the math and try to steer it to calculate but a lot of mistakes will be made I suspect.
The Maritime sulphur has double the impact, not only it will reflect sunlight, causing a cooling effect, and changing cloud formation, precipitation rate, and location of said precipitation, but it also causes changes in the ocean, changes in temperature in the ocean = change in currents which feed on changes in rain, etc, it creates a very complex feedback loop, with so many variables it is hard to correctly ascertain from a "science" standpoint lol, unless you go interdisciplinary.
China alone is probably "holding the global weather" together, while Europe attempts to kill its industry "for climate".
Regarding atmospheric rivers, check out ARkStorm. Everyone in CA worries about "the big shake", but every ~200 years half the central valley gets flooded, amongst other nasty effects.
Moriarty, I would think this article would go into your Beyond Mathematical Odds substack, and I now recall that we haven't had any articles on that Substack since almost a year ago. Have you decided to consolidate everything into this Substack after all?
This article is quite interesting, as I had no real idea that event-level analysis could be this granular. I've often shaken my head at people on the one hand screaming about global warming, including all the massive investment to keep it from happening, and then they turn around and go after all the sources of sulphur dioxide which easily and effectively cool the planet. Yet more baloney from these folks.
When I created BMO I wasn't aware that you could develop Substacks inside your own Substack, without the need to create an entirely new and separated Substack, with a separate subscription and separate Stripe account.
After many, many months I found out that you can have it all under one roof. Trying to "force" myself into writing consistently for both substack under time pressure was putting a severe strain on me, that is the only reason I found you could create the Fourth Option section here. I also wanted to "secure" the name BMO, because it was starting to be used everywhere and it annoyed me.
The Paid subscribers there are mostly people who just wanted to support me. If you wish a refund just let me know ! I do, as I always leave at the end of my articles, and I appreciate the support. =D I need to figure out how to stop the paid stuff there lol.
Event-level analysis can be even more granular and detailed, a significant portion of this comes down to... the honesty of the researchers, there is SO MUCH grant money on "climate" science, especially if you push the specific, preferred narrative, that it is very hard to go against the grain, and it is especially egregious because in climate science, if you go against the narrative, you can be punished beyond losing grant money, and lose tenure, etc.
I hold the opinion that "Green politics" is quite literally a vertent of the elite's death cult, just another new flavor and bifurcation of their insane Malthusian beliefs.
Oh, is *that* how it works?! I think I will simply cancel my subscription to BMO so it will not renew, but otherwise I will leave things as they are, since I am in fact getting the BMO information even if it isn't via BMO. From now on I'll focus my annual subscriptions on "Complexity" and get the Fourth Option within that subscription. Thanks for explaining all that, Moriarty. :-) Let me know if I'm still getting something wrong, but otherwise, that is how I will proceed.
I remember seeing a video of a missile going into the water right before the explosion. I thinkit was Ole Dammegaard who made the video. Something about Dammegaard rubs me up the wrong way a little, as though he is 'too' conspiritorial or something but that video was interesting.
The historical tie-ins make it more engaging, and the take on volcanic impact/human-driven climate shifts is such a good take. Some parts feel a bit dense, but the core argument sticks. Thanks for tis article.
We had some impressive rain events this fall, described as "Atmospheric Rivers" by the Weather Network, the occurrences no doubt a result of the "Climate Catastrophe"(TM). Formerly the rainstorms were referred to as the "Pineapple Express" due to their presumed origin near Hawaii. January was unusually dry and we have our annual snow this week.
I asked a friend's AI about the annual planetary rainfall to attempt to find when the excess water from Hunga Tonga would fall to earth. The advice was to consult some technical reference as the machine was not able to develop an answer.
I appreciate your review and information that the vaporised water will circulate in the stratosphere until it cools the planet and we have the alternate climate catastrophe.
In terms of the sulphur lost from cargo ships we would need to know the dimension of tonnes of bunker fuel used and cleansed compared to the annual use of thermal coal on a planetary basis. Without looking I would think that the new build coal-burning electricity plants in China and India would overwhelm the changes from the cleansing of the marine fuels.
Atmospheric rivers are an interesting phenomenon where heat is transported like rivers in the stratosphere (or around there).
No current AI model would be able to model your Tonga question =P because it is a very specialized knowledge, even if there was something in the data, you would need the model to function calling (using external tools), or some more complex tasks. Very hard to "one-shot" (ask a question, get the answer) such a complex question currently.
You could theoretically feed the papers to the most advanced "Reasoning" model and ask to go through the math and try to steer it to calculate but a lot of mistakes will be made I suspect.
The Maritime sulphur has double the impact, not only it will reflect sunlight, causing a cooling effect, and changing cloud formation, precipitation rate, and location of said precipitation, but it also causes changes in the ocean, changes in temperature in the ocean = change in currents which feed on changes in rain, etc, it creates a very complex feedback loop, with so many variables it is hard to correctly ascertain from a "science" standpoint lol, unless you go interdisciplinary.
China alone is probably "holding the global weather" together, while Europe attempts to kill its industry "for climate".
Regarding atmospheric rivers, check out ARkStorm. Everyone in CA worries about "the big shake", but every ~200 years half the central valley gets flooded, amongst other nasty effects.
Moriarty, I would think this article would go into your Beyond Mathematical Odds substack, and I now recall that we haven't had any articles on that Substack since almost a year ago. Have you decided to consolidate everything into this Substack after all?
This article is quite interesting, as I had no real idea that event-level analysis could be this granular. I've often shaken my head at people on the one hand screaming about global warming, including all the massive investment to keep it from happening, and then they turn around and go after all the sources of sulphur dioxide which easily and effectively cool the planet. Yet more baloney from these folks.
When I created BMO I wasn't aware that you could develop Substacks inside your own Substack, without the need to create an entirely new and separated Substack, with a separate subscription and separate Stripe account.
After many, many months I found out that you can have it all under one roof. Trying to "force" myself into writing consistently for both substack under time pressure was putting a severe strain on me, that is the only reason I found you could create the Fourth Option section here. I also wanted to "secure" the name BMO, because it was starting to be used everywhere and it annoyed me.
The Paid subscribers there are mostly people who just wanted to support me. If you wish a refund just let me know ! I do, as I always leave at the end of my articles, and I appreciate the support. =D I need to figure out how to stop the paid stuff there lol.
Event-level analysis can be even more granular and detailed, a significant portion of this comes down to... the honesty of the researchers, there is SO MUCH grant money on "climate" science, especially if you push the specific, preferred narrative, that it is very hard to go against the grain, and it is especially egregious because in climate science, if you go against the narrative, you can be punished beyond losing grant money, and lose tenure, etc.
I hold the opinion that "Green politics" is quite literally a vertent of the elite's death cult, just another new flavor and bifurcation of their insane Malthusian beliefs.
Oh, is *that* how it works?! I think I will simply cancel my subscription to BMO so it will not renew, but otherwise I will leave things as they are, since I am in fact getting the BMO information even if it isn't via BMO. From now on I'll focus my annual subscriptions on "Complexity" and get the Fourth Option within that subscription. Thanks for explaining all that, Moriarty. :-) Let me know if I'm still getting something wrong, but otherwise, that is how I will proceed.
Yes, it is very confusing lol, Substack didn't do a good job in the first 2 and a half years of explaining its own systems to its own authors.
Yeah I think cancelling the subscription is enough to stop it =). No problem, I myself get lost in these things lmao.
You got everything right, at least I think so.
This ties in nicely with Dansgaard Oeschger events. Which to my limited understanding is due to happen sometime 2030 - 2040 .
https://cp.copernicus.org/articles/18/2021/2022/cp-18-2021-2022.pdf
I remember seeing a video of a missile going into the water right before the explosion. I thinkit was Ole Dammegaard who made the video. Something about Dammegaard rubs me up the wrong way a little, as though he is 'too' conspiritorial or something but that video was interesting.
Really interesting read.
The historical tie-ins make it more engaging, and the take on volcanic impact/human-driven climate shifts is such a good take. Some parts feel a bit dense, but the core argument sticks. Thanks for tis article.