In this context it is emotionally rending to be right. There are so many complex threads merging right now including massive intentional harm having been applied to increase disruption among we, the population, with a cascading effect. And with the addition of climatic trends we simply fail to understand at a popular level. Hard to do right when everything surrounding is bent on doing wrong.
Senegal is smaller than Minnesota, but it has a population more than 2.5xs Minnesota. 40% of the population is under 15. The typical diet of Senegalese contains between 40-70% rice, none of which is grown in Senegal. I imagine that is the case in many countries in Africa. I imagine those countries that import the most food are going to hurt the most first. The Senegalese are a beautiful people.
The entire Northern region of Africa is going to an unprecedent 5 year long drought, Africa will go through a massive starvation, localized famine, for multiple reasons, which will create its own cascade effects and diseases.
Like the entire African continent didn't suffer enough for ages with food insecurity, they now pay the price for European stupidity.
It was heartbreaking when I was there. The Sahara is encroaching, in part because everybody has cattle, donkey and goat, which graze freely eating every green thing, So much of the landscape was giant baobob trees and almost nothing else but a few shrubs too coarse for even the goats to eat. The children were half the size of American kids. But still, most people smiled a lot more than Americans.
In a dry state like California, we really should not be surprised that crops like rice and cotton are not going to do too well. It is the same in Australia where I live - the country here is totally unsuitable for growing rice and cotton, yet both crops have been planted in vast swathes in our dry interior, relying completely on irrigation. Now the Murray-Darling river basin, our huge catchment basin that runs all the way up our eastern states from Victoria in the south, all the way north to Queensland, is depleted so severely that this once mighty river system is starting to run dry. I've seen scenarios like this in the USA too. A country once rich is natural resources has been bled dry - and as that old Native American saying goes, once the last tree has been cut down and the last river has dried up, people will discover that you can't eat and drink money.
Mara. Australia is a land of ‘droughts and flooding rains’, as you know. As cotton/cereal/cattle/sheep farmers, we own irrigation licences. Burrendong dam, where we draw our irrigation water from, was paid for and is still maintained through farmer contributions. It’s purpose was for developing cropping/farming activities, to feed and clothe the population.
We are going into a La Nina weather cycle. Only a few short years ago, we were struggling through a severe drought. Now we are waterlogged, with at least weekly rain.
I struggle to see the Murray Darling as running dry. So many towns along its way are the same as us. Wet.
And these ‘vast swathes’ of cotton country you speak of, is a vast exaggeration. 🥴
There's some truth in both is there not? As I understand it there are some big corporate rice & cotton farms in North West NSW and maybe, as Nestle is in California, they're responsible for drinking the Murray Dowling dry (other than now).
I've driven a tractor (in the distant past) out in South Western Queensland btw on the wheat belt there. Not out to diss you.
Yes, we are now in a flood cycle - but the fact remains, water is a limited resource in a country like Australia, especially in the inland areas. We are blessed with our Great Artesian Basin - but like the aquifers in the USA, the level has been falling over the decades.
And perhaps not right now, but a few years ago, the lower reaches of the Murray River were seriously depleted, to the point of ecosystem devastation. And perhaps more pertinent to the topic of farming, many of the farmers along the lower reaches were not getting sufficient water.
It's a complex issue, to be sure. But corporate greed and mismanagement have been big factors.
And my basic point remains - that crops like cotton and rice are not well suited to inland Australia (or California).
Sorry if I missed this in this post....do you anticipate the breakdown will impact the west in fall/winter 2022 based on the crop issues from summer 2022 or are you anticipating it will skew into 2023?
Mostly likely 2023, because every single big and medium sized company right now is rushing to secure supplies, and arguably we already have finished products all around the globe so the scarcity on many (non-food) things will probably show its ugly face 2023.
On the crop aspect, also 2023, crop issues sometimes take over 6 months to be felt and seen in our tables, that is why it is such a huge problem, and disaster prone, when most of the world pays attention, it is already too late, they are too reactive, not proactive enough.
Thank you for this information, trying to convince my adult children to keep a stock of food on hand. They think we're on the other side of the shortages now....
Well, I fluctuated a lot in my life between having money and being really poor/starving, so I got into the habit of living frugally.
Eating cheaply will often lead you to eating healthily unless you are carnivore, than "bro, you rich". Because I don't know a single country on the planet right now were meat is affordable.
Thank you. I was at a gathering of friends last night and major point of cascading losses. We have all stocked food already, and preparing for the next period of time is something we talk about regularly.
Start stocking things you usually don't, you might understand in the next one, sparing parts mostly, especially if the person works from home and has a need for it. Or sparing parts to fix the house too.
Thanks for your sharp thoughts! The „grand sceme of things“ that will happen in the 7 year tribulation right before the return of Jesus is already predicted in the Bible since 2000 years and more (Daniel 9, Hezekiel 38, Revelations, 4 horseman of the apocalypse). Everything that is happening, which you are elaborating in great detail, is the best confirmation for me that the Bible is true.
The next „thing“ (after the disruption of society in epic proportions) will be the graving of humanity for a strong man that will bring back everything back to normal, a real „savior“ who will save us out of this made up mess. Don’t fall for him. Lucifer, the angel of light, is the root cause of all of this, he will present himself as the savior of all of this (called the Antichrist in the Bible), do signs and wonders, solve problems and humanity will really think he is a god. He will demand worship. And will kill everyone who is not willing to directly or via complete cut off from society (CBDC) and you won’t be able to buy or sell anything unless you have the „mark of the beast“....pretty obvious right now for everyone who is aware of what is going on in the world
The whole thing engineered, and as the truth about the gene therapy breaks through the dam, the cabal will detonate their last throw of the dice. What that is, only they know. But as they jab promoters jump ship, back track and argue amongst themselves, the world will once again go through the dark ages. But on the other side, I am hopeful that we will have learnt that we don’t need government, bankers and pharma
So optimistic about removal of the controllers. I wish I could be as hopeful. I can't convince people that the situation in the US is the worst in 40 years they say oh there's just ups and downs that's just natural cycle how we going to vote new powers in, if it even matters, if you can't convince those that are living through right now that times are badlet alone that that this is planned destruction?
Yeah, similar. A coworker who I’m trying to wake up carefully, I pointed out what Rishi Sunak said in regard to they got it wrong with covid and should not have listened to the scientists. His response was, they had to do something or millions could have died. So not thinking
You are arguing that Western stupidity created (or at least strongly contributed to) the crisis and shortages. A stupid person lacks foresight, but after a while perceives unintended shortages and then (incompetently) tries to remedy the situation.
This is a fundamental difference to evil persons creating (or strongly contributing) to a crisis. An evil person won't try to remedy a situation that was intentionally created. Reversion of some decision (like by Öcdemir) indeed suggests stupidity, but I'm not convinced your hypothesis of stupidity being the root cause is correct.
Don't take this as financial advice but those things will keep high for ages, also pay attention to my next Beyond Mathematical Odds. There is not enough commodities to go around. Even tech too.
There will be massive consolidation too. There was this diary of a guy who went through the 20's crash I need to find it, it is full of gold too.
Thanks. Currently reading Peter Zeihan book which is quite fascinating on where he sees things going.
Also agree with John Greer's long standing outlook that we are transitioning to an era of scarcity industrialism and economic contraction. If you buy when markets are v low, hold quality companies catering to what we need rather than what we want, that is probably the best approach.
First worldwide have a huge blind spot. They never stop to ask where milk comes from, or what exists below the manhole on the street. Just these two examples lead to a complex system of supply chains or maintenance that has been so ingrained into modern society that they take it for granted. Good write up!
Excellent as always. You are very insightful and logical and you connect the dots well. So many people don't hear my warnings. I feel like Cassandra.
Believe it or not many people also don't listen to my warning. The best I can do is write about it, up to each individual to believe or not.
In this context it is emotionally rending to be right. There are so many complex threads merging right now including massive intentional harm having been applied to increase disruption among we, the population, with a cascading effect. And with the addition of climatic trends we simply fail to understand at a popular level. Hard to do right when everything surrounding is bent on doing wrong.
Are weather weapons real or disinformation?
Real.
Senegal is smaller than Minnesota, but it has a population more than 2.5xs Minnesota. 40% of the population is under 15. The typical diet of Senegalese contains between 40-70% rice, none of which is grown in Senegal. I imagine that is the case in many countries in Africa. I imagine those countries that import the most food are going to hurt the most first. The Senegalese are a beautiful people.
The entire Northern region of Africa is going to an unprecedent 5 year long drought, Africa will go through a massive starvation, localized famine, for multiple reasons, which will create its own cascade effects and diseases.
Like the entire African continent didn't suffer enough for ages with food insecurity, they now pay the price for European stupidity.
It was heartbreaking when I was there. The Sahara is encroaching, in part because everybody has cattle, donkey and goat, which graze freely eating every green thing, So much of the landscape was giant baobob trees and almost nothing else but a few shrubs too coarse for even the goats to eat. The children were half the size of American kids. But still, most people smiled a lot more than Americans.
In a dry state like California, we really should not be surprised that crops like rice and cotton are not going to do too well. It is the same in Australia where I live - the country here is totally unsuitable for growing rice and cotton, yet both crops have been planted in vast swathes in our dry interior, relying completely on irrigation. Now the Murray-Darling river basin, our huge catchment basin that runs all the way up our eastern states from Victoria in the south, all the way north to Queensland, is depleted so severely that this once mighty river system is starting to run dry. I've seen scenarios like this in the USA too. A country once rich is natural resources has been bled dry - and as that old Native American saying goes, once the last tree has been cut down and the last river has dried up, people will discover that you can't eat and drink money.
Mara. Australia is a land of ‘droughts and flooding rains’, as you know. As cotton/cereal/cattle/sheep farmers, we own irrigation licences. Burrendong dam, where we draw our irrigation water from, was paid for and is still maintained through farmer contributions. It’s purpose was for developing cropping/farming activities, to feed and clothe the population.
We are going into a La Nina weather cycle. Only a few short years ago, we were struggling through a severe drought. Now we are waterlogged, with at least weekly rain.
I struggle to see the Murray Darling as running dry. So many towns along its way are the same as us. Wet.
And these ‘vast swathes’ of cotton country you speak of, is a vast exaggeration. 🥴
There's some truth in both is there not? As I understand it there are some big corporate rice & cotton farms in North West NSW and maybe, as Nestle is in California, they're responsible for drinking the Murray Dowling dry (other than now).
I've driven a tractor (in the distant past) out in South Western Queensland btw on the wheat belt there. Not out to diss you.
Thanks for your input, Michele.
Yes, we are now in a flood cycle - but the fact remains, water is a limited resource in a country like Australia, especially in the inland areas. We are blessed with our Great Artesian Basin - but like the aquifers in the USA, the level has been falling over the decades.
And perhaps not right now, but a few years ago, the lower reaches of the Murray River were seriously depleted, to the point of ecosystem devastation. And perhaps more pertinent to the topic of farming, many of the farmers along the lower reaches were not getting sufficient water.
It's a complex issue, to be sure. But corporate greed and mismanagement have been big factors.
And my basic point remains - that crops like cotton and rice are not well suited to inland Australia (or California).
So you put it down to idiocy of the West? Or conspiracy and idiocy?
Many-fold. Idiocy, conspiracy, and what I describe as shadow players. Rogue assets.
It is a free for all moment right now.
Very well put!
Sorry if I missed this in this post....do you anticipate the breakdown will impact the west in fall/winter 2022 based on the crop issues from summer 2022 or are you anticipating it will skew into 2023?
Mostly likely 2023, because every single big and medium sized company right now is rushing to secure supplies, and arguably we already have finished products all around the globe so the scarcity on many (non-food) things will probably show its ugly face 2023.
On the crop aspect, also 2023, crop issues sometimes take over 6 months to be felt and seen in our tables, that is why it is such a huge problem, and disaster prone, when most of the world pays attention, it is already too late, they are too reactive, not proactive enough.
Hope all is well with you Samantha.
All is well thank you for asking!
Thank you for this information, trying to convince my adult children to keep a stock of food on hand. They think we're on the other side of the shortages now....
Great post! I am not poor but just in case, I started trying to learn to eat more cheaply and healthily.
Well, I fluctuated a lot in my life between having money and being really poor/starving, so I got into the habit of living frugally.
Eating cheaply will often lead you to eating healthily unless you are carnivore, than "bro, you rich". Because I don't know a single country on the planet right now were meat is affordable.
Thank you. I was at a gathering of friends last night and major point of cascading losses. We have all stocked food already, and preparing for the next period of time is something we talk about regularly.
Start stocking things you usually don't, you might understand in the next one, sparing parts mostly, especially if the person works from home and has a need for it. Or sparing parts to fix the house too.
Thanks for your sharp thoughts! The „grand sceme of things“ that will happen in the 7 year tribulation right before the return of Jesus is already predicted in the Bible since 2000 years and more (Daniel 9, Hezekiel 38, Revelations, 4 horseman of the apocalypse). Everything that is happening, which you are elaborating in great detail, is the best confirmation for me that the Bible is true.
The next „thing“ (after the disruption of society in epic proportions) will be the graving of humanity for a strong man that will bring back everything back to normal, a real „savior“ who will save us out of this made up mess. Don’t fall for him. Lucifer, the angel of light, is the root cause of all of this, he will present himself as the savior of all of this (called the Antichrist in the Bible), do signs and wonders, solve problems and humanity will really think he is a god. He will demand worship. And will kill everyone who is not willing to directly or via complete cut off from society (CBDC) and you won’t be able to buy or sell anything unless you have the „mark of the beast“....pretty obvious right now for everyone who is aware of what is going on in the world
The whole thing engineered, and as the truth about the gene therapy breaks through the dam, the cabal will detonate their last throw of the dice. What that is, only they know. But as they jab promoters jump ship, back track and argue amongst themselves, the world will once again go through the dark ages. But on the other side, I am hopeful that we will have learnt that we don’t need government, bankers and pharma
So optimistic about removal of the controllers. I wish I could be as hopeful. I can't convince people that the situation in the US is the worst in 40 years they say oh there's just ups and downs that's just natural cycle how we going to vote new powers in, if it even matters, if you can't convince those that are living through right now that times are badlet alone that that this is planned destruction?
Yeah, similar. A coworker who I’m trying to wake up carefully, I pointed out what Rishi Sunak said in regard to they got it wrong with covid and should not have listened to the scientists. His response was, they had to do something or millions could have died. So not thinking
You are arguing that Western stupidity created (or at least strongly contributed to) the crisis and shortages. A stupid person lacks foresight, but after a while perceives unintended shortages and then (incompetently) tries to remedy the situation.
This is a fundamental difference to evil persons creating (or strongly contributing) to a crisis. An evil person won't try to remedy a situation that was intentionally created. Reversion of some decision (like by Öcdemir) indeed suggests stupidity, but I'm not convinced your hypothesis of stupidity being the root cause is correct.
Hi JP,
Are you able to provide your recommendations on a investment portfolio geared to our new world in one of your future posts.
Read all my Beyond Mathematical Odds, compare to the markets and draw your own conclusions.
All markets, especially future are HEAVILY MANIPULATED, they DO NOT reflect the realities of what is going on.
Investing right now has the greatest risk and also a potential massive benefit, I would just wait for the inevitable crash.
That's what I'm doing.
Trying to work out the best companies to invest in post crash. Thinking fertiliser, coal, gas and energy companies as a start.
Don't take this as financial advice but those things will keep high for ages, also pay attention to my next Beyond Mathematical Odds. There is not enough commodities to go around. Even tech too.
There will be massive consolidation too. There was this diary of a guy who went through the 20's crash I need to find it, it is full of gold too.
Thanks. Currently reading Peter Zeihan book which is quite fascinating on where he sees things going.
Also agree with John Greer's long standing outlook that we are transitioning to an era of scarcity industrialism and economic contraction. If you buy when markets are v low, hold quality companies catering to what we need rather than what we want, that is probably the best approach.
https://www.resilience.org/stories/2007-10-17/age-scarcity-industrialism/
https://www.resilience.org/stories/2009-09-03/dawn-scarcity-industrialism/
https://zeihan.com/newsletter/
First worldwide have a huge blind spot. They never stop to ask where milk comes from, or what exists below the manhole on the street. Just these two examples lead to a complex system of supply chains or maintenance that has been so ingrained into modern society that they take it for granted. Good write up!